Poll: GOP Gained 1 Point on Generic Ballot Following Abortion Decision

The latest YouGov polling indicates that Republicans have actually gained one point on the generic midterm ballot following the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade.

On June 24, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in favor of a Mississippi law banning abortion after 15 weeks of pregnancy. Five of the six justices took the ruling one step further, voting to overturn previous abortion precedents Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey. The sixth, Chief Justice John Roberts, issued a concurring opinion which stated that he would have chosen to uphold the Mississippi law without overturning Roe.

Prior to the Supreme Court decision, Republicans were looking at a significant lead heading into the November elections, as the American people have grown frustrated with the state of the economy and the left’s increasing radicalism.

Many political pundits on the left, and several right-wing analysts as well, claimed that the ruling would be devastating to the GOP in the polls, leading to a loss in the upcoming midterms. They argued that abortion was a key issue for Americans, and it would lead many so-called Republicans to vote Democrat and many Independents and Democrats who had recently vowed to vote Republican to switch back to the Democrat Party.

Other Republicans were not so sure, with some, such as conservative Catholic Seamus Coughlin — a YouTube creator and regular guest on the Timcast IRL podcast who makes educational and comedy cartoons under the username FreedomToons — arguing that the Supreme Court decision would actually motivate Republican voters, showing that, for once, the GOP had gotten something done. While it had taken a long time, the Republicans’ push for constitutionalist justices had finally paid off.

It appears that the polls are reflecting Coughlin’s point of view, as the GOP has gained one point on the generic midterm ballot since the overturning of Roe.

Interactive Polls shared the results of the recent YouGov poll in a tweet on Wednesday.

The tweet stated (LV stands for likely voters):

“Generic Congressional Ballot Trends: Before vs After Roe v Wade decision

Republicans/Democrats (YouGov, LV)

June 21 poll: 45/41 (R+4)

June 27 poll: 45/40 (R+5)

Republicans GAINED 1 Point after SCOTUS Overturned Roe v Wade”

A generic ballot poll question asks likely midterm voters whether they would vote for a Republican or a Democrat in the upcoming November congressional general elections, without giving any specifics of the candidates in the individual races.

“If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?” the poll question asks.

The YouGov/Economist poll surveyed 1,500 U.S. adults, which included 1,359 registered voters and 776 likely midterm voters. The poll contained a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.