Poll: Herschel Walker Leads Incumbent Warnock In Tight Georgia Senate Race

The race for the Senate seat from Georgia up for grabs this year is critical to determining which party will control the upper chamber after the November midterms, and GOP candidate Hershel Walker is maintaining a slight lead in at least one poll.

According to a new survey published by Emerson College on Tuesday, Walker holds a lead over incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) with just over two months to go before the election.

Among likely voters in the state, 46% said they plan to vote for Walker compared to 44% for Warnock. The poll shows 7% of voters remain undecided. Walker’s lead has tightened slightly from the 4 percentage point advantage he held in Emerson’s poll conducted in April.

Other polls indicate how tight the race remains, as several have Warnock holding a similarly small lead. The latest RealClearPolitics polling average has Warnock ahead by 3.3%.

The data from Emerson show that Walker is strongest among rural and suburban voters. He holds a 58% to 25% advantage among rural voters. As expected, Warnock has a large lead among urban voters, 66% to 25%. Walker leads among suburbanites, 50% to 41%.

The poll also found that 57% of Georgia voters disapprove of the job being done by Joe Biden in the White House.

Georgia is one of eight Senate races currently rated by RealClearPolitics as tossups. With both parties holding 46 seats that are either considered safe this year or are not up for election, the GOP must win five of the eight tossups to retake control of the Senate. Due to the tie-breaking vote of Vice President Kamala Harris, Democrats need only take four of the tossups to maintain control.

Republicans currently lead in four of the tossup races. In addition to Georgia, Republican J.D. Vance leads Democrat Tim Ryan for an open seat in Ohio. Republican Ted Budd leads over Democrat Cheri Beasley for North Carolina’s open seat. In Nevada, GOP hopeful Adam Laxalt leads incumbent Sen. Catherin Cortex Masto (D-NV).

In Arizona, incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) currently leads Trump-endorsed Republican Blake Masters. Incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) narrowly leads Republican Don Bolduc in New Hampshire. In Wisconsin, Democrat Mandela Barnes leads incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI). Democrat John Fetterman leads another Trump endorsee, Republican Mehmet Oz, for the open seat in Pennsylvania.