Despite the effort of Democrats to downplay the nation’s economic and societal problems, voters seem determined to once again relegate the party to minority status on Capitol Hill.
With Democrats clinging to a razor thin majority in the House of Representatives, a new CBS News poll of battleground states found that the GOP is in a prime position to reclaim control of the chamber after the upcoming midterm elections.
Specifically, pollsters found that disappointment in “the way things are in the country” is the primary motivation for Americans planning to head to the polls in November. Among respondents who listed this as their biggest concern, Republicans enjoy a 16-point lead over Democrats.
Of course, this was just the latest survey to issue such a stark prediction for Democratic lawmakers. Nearly 3 in 4 voters believe the country is on the wrong track, according to a recent average compiled by RealClearPolitics.
Monmouth University pollsters reported even direr results with only about 10% of those surveyed believe America is headed in the right direction.
While Republican-leaning voters are clearly motivated to take part in the upcoming election, Democrats don’t seem excited about the prospect of casting a ballot. The CBS News poll forecasted that the 2022 midterms are “shaping up to be older and more conservative than the country as a whole” and “that as of now there are more 2020 Trump voters than Biden voters planning to vote this year.”
President Joe Biden’s widespread unpopularity is also a clear hindrance for his party as his average approval rating remains well below the 40% mark. More than 6 in 10 Republicans say their opinion of Biden is a motivating factor in their midterm vote while fewer than 4 in 10 Democrats say the same.
The Biden factor
The Biden effect looks net-negative: those weighing him “a lot” in their midterm vote are breaking Republican by two to one — maybe not a surprise given his low approval ratings. More Reps than Dems are basing their vote a lot on Biden. pic.twitter.com/8U5SBinLi6
— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) July 31, 2022
Despite the recent Supreme Court decision reversing federal abortion rights protections, polls don’t find that women are particularly excited about voting for Democrats in November. Only about 44% of women say they are “very enthusiastic” whereas 56% of men said the same, according to the CBS News survey found.
The number of Republicans who say that inflation is a “very important” factor in their vote is nearly 20 points higher than Democrats – 54% to 35%. Despite the Biden administration’s efforts to dismiss fears of an impending recession, Americans are increasingly concerned about the nation’s economic future.
National Economic Council Director Brian Deese endorsed the “technical definition” of a recession – two consecutive quarters of gross domestic product contraction – when he addressed the topic during the Obama administration. In light of the latest GDP report that would put the nation in a recession, however, he offered a different definition.
“Two negative quarters of GDP growth is not the technical definition of recession,” he said last week, echoing the Biden administration’s ongoing attempt to move the goalposts.